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Sunday, August 30, 2009 - #631
Note: Hurricane Jimena 8am report.
Any and all "on site" reports are so welcome. This includes photos
if and when possible.
Hurricane report taken from:
http://eebmike.com/
~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~
 000
WTPZ43 KNHC 301437
TCDEP3
HURRICANE JIMENA DISCUSSION NUMBER 8
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP132009
800 AM PDT SUN AUG 30 2009
JIMENA HAS A SMALL EYE EMBEDDED WITHIN EXTREMELY COLD CLOUD TOPS.
DVORAK T-NUMBERS ARE 6.0 FROM BOTH TAFB MIAMI AND SAB
WASHINGTON...WHICH EQUATES TO A CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATE OF 115
KT OR CATEGORY 4 INTENSITY. THE HURRICANE IS EXPECTED TO
REMAIN IN
AN ENVIRONMENT CONDUCIVE FOR STRENGTHENING FOR THE NEXT COUPLE OF
DAYS...SO THE INTENSITY CHANGE FOR THE NEXT 48 HOURS OR SO WILL
DEPEND LARGELY ON THE EVOLUTION OF THE INNER CORE...WHICH IS NOT
VERY PREDICTABLE. NONETHELESS...SOME ADDITIONAL INCREASE IN
STRENGTH IS ANTICIPATED...AND THE OFFICIAL WIND SPEED FORECAST FOR
THE FIRST PART OF THE PERIOD IS FAIRLY SIMILAR TO THE SHIPS AND
GFDL GUIDANCE. LATER IN THE FORECAST PERIOD THE GLOBAL MODELS
SUGGEST SOME INCREASE IN SOUTHWESTERLY SHEAR. THIS...ALONG
WITH
THE POSSIBLE INTERACTION WITH LAND...SHOULD CAUSE WEAKENING.
THE
OFFICIAL INTENSITY FORECAST FROM 72 TO 120 HOURS IS BASED ON A
MOTION NEAR AND OVER SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA. HOWEVER SINCE
THERE
IS CONSIDERABLE UNCERTAINTY IN THE TRACK FORECAST IN THE LATTER
PART OF THE PERIOD...THE 4 AND 5 DAY INTENSITIES ARE ALSO HIGHLY
UNCERTAIN.
THE FUTURE TRACK OF JIMENA APPEARS TO DEPEND ON TWO MAIN FACTORS...A
MID- TO UPPER-LEVEL LOW NEAR THE SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA
AND A MID-LEVEL RIDGE OVER THE SOUTHWESTERN U.S. AND NORTHWESTERN
MEXICO. THE GLOBAL MODELS SHOW THE LOW DRIFTING WESTWARD AND
WEAKENING WITH THE RIDGE BUILDING WESTWARD...WHEREAS THE HWRF AND
GFDL DO NOT WEAKEN THE LOW OR BUILD THE RIDGE AS MUCH.
CONSEQUENTLY THE GFDL/HWRF TAKE JIMENA BETWEEN THE LOW AND THE
RIDGE...AND OVER BAJA OR MAINLAND MEXICO WHILE THE GLOBAL MODELS
PREDICT JIMENA TO MOVE TO THE WEST OF BAJA. AS A
COMPROMISE...THE
OFFICIAL FORECAST LIES BETWEEN THESE TWO POSSIBLE SCENARIOS AND
MOVES THE TROPICAL CYCLONE NEAR THE SOUTHWEST COAST OF THE BAJA
PENINSULA.
INTEREST IN WESTERN MAINLAND MEXICO AND SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA
SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF JIMENA. A HURRICANE WATCH MAY
BE
REQUIRED FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHERN BAJA LATER TODAY.
FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
INITIAL 30/1500Z 16.3N 106.3W
115 KT
12HR VT 31/0000Z 17.1N 107.1W 120 KT
24HR VT 31/1200Z 18.4N 108.3W 125 KT
36HR VT 01/0000Z 20.0N 109.4W 125 KT
48HR VT 01/1200Z 21.7N 110.4W 125 KT
=================================================
REMEMBER TO MARK YOUR CALENDAR, Saturday, September 19th.
Celebrating Mexican independence day, the unbeaten Floyd Mayweather
Jr. will make his celebrated return to the ring September 19, the
rescheduled date for his 12-round welterweight showdown against Juan
Manuel Marquez at the MGM Grand in Las Vegas. Mayweather, is a
six-time world champion in five weight classes. Marquez, a five-time
world champion in three weight classes, figures to throw his name
into the pound-for-pound debate. He's already considered "Numero
Uno" in his native Mexico and vows to show Mayweather why he's so
highly regarded.
See it at Buzzards Bay Cantina, were we will have appetizers and
buckets of Coronas or Pacifico on special. Don’t forget Friday is
Lady’s Night and Saturdays Karaoke & Dancing. As always, the COLDEST
BEER and BEST HAMBURGERS in Baja! Cheers! Harry & Penny
=====================
Since you need some quick results for the ants, try these natural
approaches...good luck
Keep a small spray bottle handy, and spray the ants with a bit of
soapy water. Set out cucumber peels or slices in the kitchen or at
the ants' point of entry. Many ants have a natural aversion to
cucumber. Bitter cucumbers work best. Leave a few tea bags of mint
tea near areas where the ants seem most active. Dry, crushed mint
leaves or cloves also work as ant deterrents. Trace the ant column
back to their point of entry. Set any of the following items at the
entry area in a small line, which ants will not cross: cayenne
pepper, citrus oil (can be soaked into a piece of string), lemon
juice, cinnamon or coffee grounds. Mix a half teaspoon each of
honey, borox, and aspartame (Equal, Nutrasweet, etc.), in small
bottles. Place bottles on their sides, with lids off, in areas of
most ant activity. Ants will carry the bait back to their colonies.
Important: use indoors only; must be kept away from pets and
children. Leave a small, low wattage night light on for a few nights
in the area of most ant activity. The change in light can disrupt
and discourage their foraging patterns. Ants on the deck? Slip a few
cut up cloves of garlic between the cracks.
Ancient Therapies Foot Reflexology, healing the planet one step at a
time....
Success is a healthy experience! $45.00 ~ 928-282-5969
=========================
NOT WANTED - Repeats ONCE a week - Subject
to Editing! Use link to Craigslist.com Works Great!
a. 1997 Suburban, 4x4, 3/4 ton, 9 passenger, great shape and runs
great...super towing machine and safe on Baja roads, way lower than
Kelley Blue Book, contact (530) 642-0870 or
wonnorth@pacbell.net
b. 20-foot Wellcraft center console fishing machine, EZ Loader
trailer, no outboard. Great Shape, you can own "Baja Sueno" for
yourself at a "good guy" (or "gal") price. (530) 642-0870 or
wonnorth@pacbell.net
c. Beautiful 3-bed, 3-bath house 1 minute walk from beach in Buena
Vista for sale or rent, such a deal you'll never find a again!!!
Call (530) 642-0870 or
wonnorth@pacbell.net.
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